HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

AUSTIN, October 13, 2014 – TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. A SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT PUSHES INTO THE AREA. WHILE THIS STORM SYSTEM`S PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AREA WILL BE OFF TO OUR NORTH AND NORTHEAST...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...HAIL...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF WEAK TORNADO OR TWO COULD DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH THE MAIN THREAT AREA NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR...GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM COLUMBUS TO HOUSTON TO WINNIE. THE LINE OF STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT THERE SHOULD ONLY BE A SMALL FLOOD THREAT DUE TO THE RAPID EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. THE SQUALL LINE SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE COLLEGE STATION TO CROCKETT AREA FROM 7 AM TO 11 AM...THE HOUSTON AREA FROM 10 AM TO 2 PM...AND THE COAST FROM NOON TO 4 PM. IT IS POSSIBLE THE LINE OF STORMS COULD MOVE THROUGH FASTER THAN EXPECTED.

THE COLD FRONT AND ALL ASSOCIATED CONVECTION SHOULD BE OFF THE COAST SOME TIME IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND THEN THROUGH ALL OF OUR COASTAL WATERS BY MID EVENING.

FOR THE COASTAL WATERS...ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AHEAD OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT AND SQUALL LINE THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING HOURS. ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. OCCASIONAL GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TOO.

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