HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

LIBERTY, February 18, 2013 - TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 TO 35 MPH IN SOME AREAS. WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR LATE THIS MORNING AND THE AFTERNOON. A FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY BE LIMITED BY THE LACK OF INSTABILITY AND A CAP OF WARM AIR ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY APPEARS SMALL AT THIS TIME.

TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL SUPPORT SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER INCREASES OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP SOUTH AND ALONG THE WARM FRONT THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG WIND SHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL SUPPORT ROTATING STORMS AND BOWING SEGMENTS ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT. THE MAIN THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS TO BE FROM NORTH OF A BRENHAM...CONROE...LIVINGSTON LINE. AT THIS TIME THERE MAY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR STORMS AND THE CAP MAY BE WEAKER. THE DETAILS OF THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL MAY STILL CHANGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BUT THIS TIME FRAME NEEDS TO BE MONITORED FOR AN INCREASE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

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