HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

LIBERTY, November 24, 2013 - MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS LATE SUNDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. A BAND OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE EVENING AND EXPAND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE AND MOISTURE PROFILES IN THE ATMOSPHERE SUPPORT A MIX OF PRECIPITATION...RAIN/SLEET MIX AND THEN A RAIN/FREEZING RAIN MIX NORTH OF A CALDWELL TO TRINITY LINE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. NO ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE SOME MINOR ICING ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE SOME LIGHT GLAZING MAY OCCUR. PLEASE MONITOR FOR UPDATED FORECASTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. THE COMBINATION OF THE TWO WILL SUPPORT WIDE SPREAD RAIN WITH THUNDERSTORMS OFF THE COAST. SOME RAIN BANDS MAY DEVELOP MAINLY ON MONDAY THAT COULD PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES DIRECTLY OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY... THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF A MIX OF RAIN/SLEET THAT MAY OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE FOR SLEET WILL BE GENERALLY NORTH OF A COLLEGE STATION TO LIVINGSTON LINE. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE CHANCES FOR SLEET COULD MOVE FARTHER SOUTH BUT NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE HOUSTON AREA.

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