HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

LIBERTY, March 19, 2012 - THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. EXPECT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 40 MPH INLAND. BREEZY CONDITIONS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE EXPECTED OFFSHORE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...AND ANY ISOLATED STRONGER CELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE.

A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WEST OF THE AREA TONIGHT. THIS LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS SHOULD BE APPROACHING A COLLEGE STATION TO EDNA LINE BETWEEN 5 AM AND 7 AM. ALL SEVERE WEATHER TYPES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE SQUALL LINE MENTIONED ABOVE SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON TUESDAY. THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BE SITUATED AROUND THE HIGHWAY 59 CORRIDOR AROUND BETWEEN 11 AM AND 1 PM...THEN INTO EASTERN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS ITS EASTWARD PROGRESS POSSIBLY SLOWS DOWN. DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY WEATHER THREAT. THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES WITH SOME ISOLATED 3 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHERE TRAINING CELLS OCCUR. LOCATIONS GENERALLY TO THE NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR APPEAR TO BE SITUATED IN THE MORE FAVORABLE LOCATION TO SEE THE HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS.

RAINFALL REMAINS A POSSIBILITY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE OVERHEAD. THOUGH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AT THIS TIME...WE WILL BE MONITORING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS EASTERN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AS THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MEANDERS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE STATE.

IN ADDITION TO OUR LOCAL RAINFALL...CONSIDERABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER NORTH TEXAS INTO MIDWEEK SO RIVER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE AND SHOULD ALSO BE MONITORED.

 

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