FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

LIBERTY, February 17, 2012 - FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COUPLED WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF RAIN WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEARS THE AREA OVERNIGHT THE RAINFALL SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY WITH LARGE CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SLOWLY MOVING EAST AND NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. ANY RAINS DURING THE DAY WILL HELP TO SATURATE THE GROUND AND WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT THE RISK FOR FLOODING WILL INCREASE. OVERNIGHT RAINFALL TOTALS MAY AVERAGE AROUND 1 INCH BUT LARGE SWATHS OF RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLUSTERS OF STORMS MAY REACH 3 TO 4 INCHES. THE RAINS SHOULD END SATURDAY MORNING BUT THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS BUT IF SO WOULD BE MORE ISOLATED IN NATURE.

* RAINS EARLIER THIS WEEK HAVE NEARLY SATURATED THE SOILS IN SOME PORTIONS OF THE AREA. FLOODING OCCURRED EARLIER IN THE WEEK IN GRIMES AND WALKER COUNTIES WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN. ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL EXACERBATE AN ALREADY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOUGH THESE AREAS MAY BE IN JEOPARDY EARLIER BECAUSE OF THE PRIOR RAINS THE CLUSTERS OF STORMS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WILL BE CAPABLE OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD MOVE THROUGH OTHER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND COULD EASILY SATURATE THE SOILS AND PRODUCE ABUNDANT RUNOFF QUICKLY LEADING TO THE FLOODING. TRAVEL OVERNIGHT MAY BE HAZARDOUS DUE TO ROADS FLOODING AND YOU SHOULD CHECK ON THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS AND STATUS OF THE ROADS BEFORE TRAVELING TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

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