Trinity River Update at 10:00 AM

LIBERTY March 30, 2018 ⎯ The release rate at the Livingston Dam continues at 73,500 cubic feet per second (cfs) and the lake level is slowly dropping, currently at approximately 1.6 feet above normal pool level.

We do not anticipate any increase over the current 73,500 cfs, however we will monitor and update as warranted. With no rain in the near forecast and the lake slowly dropping things are looking a bit better upstream. Hopefully Trinity River Authority officials can begin to slow the release rate by Sunday or Monday.

The Trinity River is currently at 37.39 feet in Romayor, and the National Weather Service has indicated the crest should occur by tomorrow at a level of 39.5,which is a half foot less than yesterdays projected level. The record crest for this gauge is 42.69, which occurred on August 30, 2017.

The Liberty gauge is at 27.37 and the weather service still calls for a crest of 29.9 tomorrow. Record here is 32.74 set on September 1st 2017.

Moss Bluff is currently at 11.32, with a rise to 15.3 by early next week. Record here is 18.6 set on September 1st 2017.

The above record levels were all set during Hurricane Harvey and we continue to stress that this current flood event is nothing like Harvey and is more comparable with the May 2015 flood.

The expected levels noted above will cut off roads into many riverfront subdivisions along the Trinity River. Residents living in the flood plain area around the Trinity River should make certain they have their supplies if they intend to remain in their residences or make plans to stay with friends or relatives outside the flood plain until the water levels recede. Residents living along the Trinity that experienced water inside their homes during the May 2015 flood may experience similar conditions with this event.

Those planning to leave should do so during daylight hours only and anyone coming to the area for Easter weekend should stay away from the river.

There are no open shelters at this time ,however, we are communicating with the Red Cross to address any sheltering needs that might arise. The river will remain above flood stage at least a week or until we see a decrease in the discharge rate at the dam.

Bottom line is that right now we anticipate levels similar to the May 2015 flood, well below Hurricane Harvey levels, and no additional rainfall is anticipated over the next few days.

Please feel free to give us a call at 936-334-3219 if you have questions or concerns.

Updates to follow as warranted.

Tom Branch
Liberty County OEM


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